First, Hispanic political polling has reverted towards the pre-Trump era, but perhaps not completely. Here is my timeline of Hispanic national voting starting in 2016. Prior to Trump, 25%-30% of Hispanics voted Republican. In the 2024 election, close to 50% voted for Trump. At this time (mid September) about 30%-35% approve of Trump. Here is Salazar’s statement on September 17 plus links to her immigration reform Dignity Act, which is going nowhere, while an indication of how Republican frames normalization of unauthorized status.

Second, Hispanic Republican congress persons are experiencing whiplash, best seen with Congresswoman Salazar. She has reverted to accusing the administration of betraying Hispanics. Here is a profile on how Salazar in 2025 came out to support Venezuelans on TPS. She is the most visibly active of Hispanic Republican congresspersons in questioning the administration, if not outright defying it.

Third, the number of eligible Hispanic voters is inexorably rising but their voting proclivity is less, thereby blunting their impact in elections.

Between 2020 and 2024, The number of eligible Hispanic voters, which were 32 million or 13.5% of all eligible voters, rose to 36 million.  This year, 2029, eligible Hispanic voters are 39 million or 16% of all eligible voters. All the increase in eligible voters have been non-white (Hispanic, Black and Asian).  Eligible white voters remain about the same as in 2020. (Go here.) The white share of eligible voters declined from about 82% in 2000 to about 62% in 2026. But since whites turn out to vote a lot more than other groups, its actual diminishment in electoral impact has not declined as much.

Hispanics, indeed, turn out to vote much less than whites. In 2020, 73% of eligible white voters voted, compared to 53% of eligible Hispanic voters. (Go here.) In 2024, 71% of non-Hispanic white eligible voters voted, compared to 51% of Hispanic voters. (The percentages for Blacks 60% and Asians 57%.)